Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Paul 51.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Foligno
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Foligno
Paul
Last 6: Foligno 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Foligno
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Foligno
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (202)
53.5% (312)
-6.5%
Power Play
57.9% (95)
53.8% (26)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
29.4% (34)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Foligno is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Foligno
Paul
Home
50.6% (162)
45.8% (153)
Away
49.0% (157)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Foligno
Paul
P1
48.9%
55.9%
P2
47.8%
48.9%
P3
53.8%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2020 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |