Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.0% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paul
Suzuki
Last 5: Paul 2-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Paul
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (312)
46.6% (582)
+6.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
45.0% (60)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (34)
41.2% (17)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
45.8% (153)
46.0% (350)
Away
55.0% (220)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
55.9%
47.6%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
50.0%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |