Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Paul
Suzuki
Last 10: Paul 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
6
Paul
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
4
Paul
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Paul
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
51.3% (1,096)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
59.9% (157)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
56.9% (58)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
56.0% (466)
54.2% (638)
Away
52.7% (512)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
57.2%
51.5%
P2
54.9%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 04:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |