Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.6%). Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Paul
Suzuki
Last 10: Paul 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Paul
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
1
Paul
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Paul
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
50.3% (1,075)
+2.7%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
49.3% (219)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
43.1% (116)
-0.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
52.5% (516)
53.6% (711)
Away
47.1% (329)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
47.6%
48.5%
P2
48.4%
51.7%
P3
54.5%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |