Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 73.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
51.3% (904)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
49.8% (265)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
36.8% (57)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
54.6% (183)
50.6% (603)
Away
53.6% (233)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
56.3%
52.3%
P2
54.8%
47.5%
P3
52.4%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |