Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 45 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 47-42 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
42
(89 meetings)
47
42
Paul
Suzuki
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
21
Paul
Suzuki
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
33
12
Paul
Suzuki
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
10
9
Paul
Suzuki
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
49.4% (6,327)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
50.7% (1,338)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
43.6% (456)
+3.1%
On power play, Paul has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
52.7% (2,412)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
53.9%
48.8%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 04:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |