Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 63.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paul
Suzuki
Last 5: Paul 3-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
47.0% (1,066)
+6.8%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
49.5% (204)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
46.6% (131)
+0.8%
On power play, Paul has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
54.2% (450)
49.4% (686)
Away
53.3% (471)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
58.2%
45.6%
P2
50.6%
46.9%
P3
52.9%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |