Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.7% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 52.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 90.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 77.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Paul
Suzuki
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
10
Paul
Suzuki
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
15
2
Paul
Suzuki
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (274)
43.8% (623)
+12.4%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
48.1% (129)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
34.1% (44)
+9.3%
On even strength, Paul has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
52.3% (235)
44.8% (364)
Away
51.9% (185)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
53.2%
45.8%
P2
53.8%
42.3%
P3
49.3%
43.8%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |