Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Dubois 47.1% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 77.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Paul
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
46.1% (1,050)
+6.9%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
58.0% (81)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
25.0% (4)
+17.9%
On power play, Dubois has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
52.5% (516)
47.0% (581)
Away
47.1% (329)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
47.6%
46.9%
P2
48.4%
50.1%
P3
54.5%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%