Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Dubois 49.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 50.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Paul
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Paul
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Paul
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
49.3% (842)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
57.1% (35)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
55.6% (9)
+2.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
56.0% (466)
51.0% (445)
Away
52.7% (512)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
57.2%
50.3%
P2
54.9%
49.5%
P3
51.5%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nick Paul |