Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Dubois 46.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 70.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 68.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.7%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Paul
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Paul
Dubois
Last 10: Paul 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
5
Paul
Dubois
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
2
Paul
Dubois
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
5
7
Paul
Dubois
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
46.2% (7,002)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
51.3% (606)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
48.1% (108)
-1.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
52.7% (2,412)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
53.9%
47.6%
P2
51.0%
45.6%
P3
52.0%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |