Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Dubois 49.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 79.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 62.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 55.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Paul
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paul
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Paul
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
48.7% (809)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
50.9% (163)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
37.5% (16)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
54.2% (450)
50.5% (497)
Away
53.3% (471)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
58.2%
49.0%
P2
50.6%
48.2%
P3
52.9%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |