Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 52.1%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Paul
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Paul
Dubois
Last 10: Paul 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Paul
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Paul
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
49.8% (1,064)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
46.3% (67)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
53.3% (30)
+6.7%
On power play, Paul has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Paul
Dubois
Home
49.7% (348)
48.3% (582)
Away
50.2% (438)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Paul
Dubois
P1
51.0%
52.0%
P2
47.4%
49.9%
P3
51.5%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |