Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 77.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 92.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 91.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Paul
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Paul
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
42.5% (207)
+11.3%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
40.0% (10)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On power play, Paul has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Holmberg is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Paul
Holmberg
Home
54.2% (450)
40.9% (127)
Away
53.3% (471)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Paul
Holmberg
P1
58.2%
47.8%
P2
50.6%
43.8%
P3
52.9%
37.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |