Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Holmberg 46.6% (+14.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.2%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 58.1%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Paul
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
39.1% (46)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Paul has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Holmberg is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Paul
Holmberg
Home
54.6% (183)
37.5% (32)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Paul
Holmberg
P1
56.3%
71.4%
P2
54.8%
21.1%
P3
52.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
39.6%