Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Hintz 52.6% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 79.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Paul
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
52.9% (526)
+0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
57.4% (108)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
42.5% (40)
+0.4%
On power play, Hintz has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
52.5% (516)
53.8% (329)
Away
47.1% (329)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
47.6%
55.6%
P2
48.4%
53.0%
P3
54.5%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%