Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Hintz 55.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Paul
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
56.3% (512)
-3.2%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
63.3% (30)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
45.8% (24)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
56.0% (466)
57.3% (262)
Away
52.7% (512)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
57.2%
54.8%
P2
54.9%
56.0%
P3
51.5%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%