Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Hintz 51.6% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 67.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Paul
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
52.6% (439)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
37.9% (29)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
63.6% (11)
-16.2%
On power play, Paul has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
54.2% (450)
53.5% (256)
Away
53.3% (471)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
58.2%
59.5%
P2
50.6%
49.2%
P3
52.9%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%