Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Hintz 58.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Paul
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paul
Hintz
Last 5: Paul 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Paul
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Paul
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
58.7% (530)
-5.5%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
59.4% (170)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
66.7% (27)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
54.6% (183)
60.2% (354)
Away
53.6% (233)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
56.3%
58.4%
P2
54.8%
59.8%
P3
52.4%
58.2%
OT
44.4%
81.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |