Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Hintz 53.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 67.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Paul
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paul
Hintz
Last 6: Paul 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Paul
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Paul
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
53.6% (711)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
53.8% (93)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
58.7% (46)
+1.3%
On even strength, Hintz has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Paul
Hintz
Home
49.7% (348)
52.6% (460)
Away
50.2% (438)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Paul
Hintz
P1
51.0%
59.0%
P2
47.4%
52.7%
P3
51.5%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nick Paul |