Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs McLeod 47.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 83.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Paul
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Paul
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Paul
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
47.8% (448)
+5.2%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
48.1% (52)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
36.0% (25)
+6.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Paul
McLeod
Home
52.5% (516)
46.6% (253)
Away
47.1% (329)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Paul
McLeod
P1
47.6%
43.9%
P2
48.4%
45.9%
P3
54.5%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |