Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs McLeod 47.8% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 63.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Paul
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
49.2% (796)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
44.8% (87)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.3% (263)
+6.7%
On power play, Paul has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Paul
McLeod
Home
54.6% (183)
49.2% (575)
Away
53.6% (233)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Paul
McLeod
P1
56.3%
52.8%
P2
54.8%
45.1%
P3
52.4%
45.6%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%