Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs McLeod 52.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Paul
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
52.9% (904)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
57.6% (59)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
49.0% (241)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Paul
McLeod
Home
49.7% (348)
51.8% (612)
Away
50.2% (438)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Paul
McLeod
P1
51.0%
55.4%
P2
47.4%
50.8%
P3
51.5%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |