Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 65.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 64.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Paul
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Paul
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
48.0% (275)
+5.0%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
48.1% (52)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
53.1% (32)
-10.2%
On power play, Reinhart has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Paul
Reinhart
Home
52.5% (516)
49.8% (201)
Away
47.1% (329)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Paul
Reinhart
P1
47.6%
54.8%
P2
48.4%
40.5%
P3
54.5%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |