Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 91.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 83.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 78.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Paul
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Paul
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
44.1% (324)
+4.7%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
40.3% (72)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
33.9% (118)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Paul
Reinhart
Home
49.7% (348)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.2% (438)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Paul
Reinhart
P1
51.0%
46.4%
P2
47.4%
32.6%
P3
51.5%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |