Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 67.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 86.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 84.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Paul
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Paul
Reinhart
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
2
Paul
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Paul
Reinhart
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
42.5% (2,173)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
46.5% (525)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
41.3% (339)
+5.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Paul
Reinhart
Home
52.7% (2,412)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Paul
Reinhart
P1
53.9%
44.5%
P2
51.0%
40.5%
P3
52.0%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nick Paul |