Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 77.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 73.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Paul
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Paul
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
44.6% (345)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
43.3% (97)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
43.2% (88)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Paul
Reinhart
Home
56.0% (466)
47.9% (267)
Away
52.7% (512)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Paul
Reinhart
P1
57.2%
45.6%
P2
54.9%
42.0%
P3
51.5%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |