Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 74.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 79.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Paul
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
39.0% (77)
+14.2%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
35.4% (48)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Paul has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Paul
Reinhart
Home
54.6% (183)
35.7% (84)
Away
53.6% (233)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Paul
Reinhart
P1
56.3%
42.6%
P2
54.8%
34.7%
P3
52.4%
37.3%
Final 5 min
59.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nick Paul |