Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Paul
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
52.3% (982)
+0.7%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
41.9% (43)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
39.2% (245)
+3.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Paul
Kuraly
Home
52.5% (516)
50.3% (680)
Away
47.1% (329)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Paul
Kuraly
P1
47.6%
49.5%
P2
48.4%
49.6%
P3
54.5%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |