Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 50.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 65.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Paul
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Paul
Kuraly
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
55.3% (515)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
55.6% (9)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
44.8% (58)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Paul
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (348)
57.3% (293)
Away
50.2% (438)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Paul
Kuraly
P1
51.0%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |