Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 71.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 76.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Paul
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
45.8% (24)
+7.2%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
0.0% (1)
+37.5%
On power play, Paul has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Jarvis is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Paul
Jarvis
Home
52.5% (516)
27.3% (11)
Away
47.1% (329)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Paul
Jarvis
P1
47.6%
58.3%
P2
48.4%
50.0%
P3
54.5%
14.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%