Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+11.6%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 53.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.4%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 54.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Paul
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
44.2% (52)
+9.0%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
33.3% (6)
+28.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On power play, Paul has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Paul
Jarvis
Home
54.6% (183)
43.6% (39)
Away
53.6% (233)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Paul
Jarvis
P1
56.3%
37.5%
P2
54.8%
48.3%
P3
52.4%
38.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%