Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 58.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 77.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Paul
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Paul
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
37.5% (24)
+16.3%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
0.0% (1)
+58.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On power play, Paul has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Paul
Jarvis
Home
54.2% (450)
38.5% (13)
Away
53.3% (471)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Paul
Jarvis
P1
58.2%
40.0%
P2
50.6%
20.0%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Nick Paul |