Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.8%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Paul
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paul
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Paul
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
30.8% (26)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
On even strength, Paul has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Paul
Lorentz
Home
49.7% (348)
35.0% (20)
Away
50.2% (438)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Paul
Lorentz
P1
51.0%
38.5%
P2
47.4%
37.5%
P3
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |