Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Paul 65.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 62.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Paul
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
52.2% (67)
+1.0%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
50.0% (2)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
On power play, Paul has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Paul shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Paul
Lorentz
Home
54.6% (183)
55.4% (65)
Away
53.6% (233)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Paul
Lorentz
P1
56.3%
59.3%
P2
54.8%
47.1%
P3
52.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%