Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.7% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
2
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (439)
42.5% (485)
+6.0%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
45.1% (51)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (69).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
52.5% (221)
45.0% (258)
Away
45.2% (272)
40.9% (279)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
50.5%
47.0%
P2
45.5%
42.7%
P3
48.5%
38.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |