Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Schmaltz
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
51.9% (547)
-6.0%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
54.1% (37)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
44.7% (409)
54.0% (328)
Away
47.6% (391)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
40.3%
53.5%
P2
47.6%
51.6%
P3
51.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |