Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Roy 48.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 70.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Schmaltz
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
49.5% (746)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
50.7% (75)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
42.7% (110)
+4.4%
On even strength, Roy has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
41.6% (125)
47.7% (491)
Away
54.4% (114)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
40.0%
51.1%
P2
59.5%
44.6%
P3
45.0%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |