Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Roy 47.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 84.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Schmaltz
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schmaltz
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
48.6% (679)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
48.0% (50)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
34.7% (49)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
49.0% (206)
49.3% (345)
Away
49.4% (170)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
53.6%
47.6%
P2
46.2%
47.1%
P3
50.4%
47.9%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |