Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 91.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 75.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Schmaltz
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Schmaltz
Roy
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
1
Schmaltz
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Schmaltz
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
48.7% (3,719)
-7.5%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
49.5% (283)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
45.5% (477)
+2.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
42.7% (2,089)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
41.1%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
46.3%
P3
43.0%
48.1%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |