Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Roy 48.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Schmaltz
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schmaltz
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Schmaltz
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
48.3% (633)
-10.6%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
52.1% (48)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
43.7% (87)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
34.7% (49)
50.8% (376)
Away
45.1% (51)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
25.9%
53.8%
P2
46.2%
43.5%
P3
42.1%
46.4%
OT
46.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |