Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Roy 47.2% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 71.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Schmaltz
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
47.5% (617)
-9.0%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
39.6% (53)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
46.4% (97)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Schmaltz shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Roy
Home
38.0% (184)
47.2% (398)
Away
43.5% (216)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Schmaltz
Roy
P1
40.3%
48.6%
P2
39.9%
48.8%
P3
40.7%
43.9%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%