Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Gourde 49.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Schmaltz
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schmaltz
Gourde
Last 6: Schmaltz 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Schmaltz
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
49.1% (731)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
54.3% (81)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
48.2% (85)
-1.1%
On even strength, Gourde has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gourde
Home
41.6% (125)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.4% (114)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gourde
P1
40.0%
51.2%
P2
59.5%
49.8%
P3
45.0%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |