Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 78.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Schmaltz
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Schmaltz
Gourde
Last 10: Schmaltz 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
0
Schmaltz
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
5
Schmaltz
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Schmaltz
Gourde
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
48.4% (4,954)
-7.2%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
57.4% (376)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
39.9% (554)
+7.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gourde
Home
42.7% (2,089)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gourde
P1
41.1%
49.9%
P2
42.9%
47.4%
P3
43.0%
47.5%
OT
42.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |