Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 82.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 66.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Schmaltz
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schmaltz
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
48.0% (914)
-9.5%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
54.2% (48)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
43.9% (123)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gourde
Home
38.0% (184)
50.2% (512)
Away
43.5% (216)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gourde
P1
40.3%
50.0%
P2
39.9%
45.3%
P3
40.7%
48.6%
OT
70.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |