Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 84.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 52.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 71.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Lowry
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lowry
Suzuki
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Lowry
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Lowry
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
46.6% (582)
+9.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
45.0% (60)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
41.2% (17)
+2.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Lowry
Suzuki
Home
57.8% (341)
46.0% (350)
Away
49.4% (308)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Lowry
Suzuki
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
54.4%
45.7%
P3
53.0%
46.6%
OT
80.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
58.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |