Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.3%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Suzuki 46.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Tkachuk
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
46.6% (582)
+0.3%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
45.0% (60)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
41.2% (17)
+38.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Suzuki
Home
47.6% (168)
46.0% (350)
Away
44.4% (144)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Tkachuk
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
47.6%
P2
42.9%
45.7%
P3
46.5%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |