Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 82.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paul
Suzuki
Last 6: Paul 4-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
52.4% (981)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
50.7% (304)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
36.4% (33)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
49.7% (348)
53.2% (645)
Away
50.2% (438)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
51.0%
48.9%
P2
47.4%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |