Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Suzuki
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
49.3% (789)
+1.0%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
56.9% (181)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
54.1% (98)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
53.6% (711)
52.0% (512)
Away
45.5% (699)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
42.1%
P2
51.7%
56.4%
P3
49.0%
53.7%
OT
43.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |