Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 10: Suzuki 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Suzuki
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
55.3% (628)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
55.1% (216)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
40.2% (87)
+6.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
49.4% (686)
55.5% (499)
Away
45.3% (715)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
45.6%
50.7%
P2
46.9%
53.8%
P3
49.8%
55.9%
OT
38.1%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |